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2012-02-14 - Lithuanian CPI grew 0.3 month/month and 3.4 year/year in January (MatasM)


Lithuanian department of Statistics published a monthly Consumer Price Index data (a gauge of inflation) today.
Consensus expectation was also 0.3 per cent month on month grow in CPI. Hence inflation figures came out as expected.

Assessment:
The key factors for growing inflation were higher prices of food and transportation. Inflation should further accelerate in February because of increasing heating prices but we expect it to decelerate later on and to stand at 3 per cent for 2012 (compared to 4.2 per cent in 2011). The main reason for this is expectations of stable oil and grain prices in the global markets and weaker economic growth in 2012.

Rokas Bancevičius
Senior analyst



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